The Strategy Unit July 2020
- Working with the national collaboration to coordinate COVID-related analysis, and the NHSE/I Midlands region, the Strategy Unit has produced a ‘systems dynamics’ model of waiting lists for planned care. The model is freely available for non-commercial use across the NHS.
- In producing the model, the team found that:
- Waiting lists did not increase in the few months after the lockdown
- Services are planning the dark. Modelled results are sensitive to factors we know little about
- Waiting lists may yet reach unprecedented levels
- Hope of a rapid return to pre-covid waiting lists is misplaced